United States v. Paige
Facts
The defendant had pleaded guilty in 1970 to violating 18 U.S.C. § 659 by possessing goods worth more than $100 stolen from a foreign shipment, knowing the goods were stolen. In the present case, he was charged with knowing receipt and concealment of stolen securities under 18 U.S.C. § 2315. Eight years had passed since the prior conviction, and the defendant had not been convicted of any other crimes during that time. He sought to exclude the prior conviction from use as impeachment if he testified at trial.
Issue
Under Federal Rule of Evidence 609(a)(1), should the government be allowed to impeach the defendant with his eight-year-old prior conviction for possession of stolen goods when he is now charged with a similar stolen-property offense? Specifically, did the government show that the conviction's probative value outweighed its prejudicial effect?
Rule
Under Rule 609(a)(1), evidence of a prior felony conviction may be admitted to attack a defendant-witness's credibility only if the court determines that its probative value outweighs its prejudicial effect to the defendant, and the government bears that burden. In making that determination, the court should consider: (1) the impeachment value of the prior crime; (2) the time of the conviction and the witness's subsequent history; (3) the similarity between the past crime and the charged crime; (4) the importance of the defendant's testimony; and (5) the centrality of the credibility issue.
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If the court follows the governing Rule 609(a)(1) approach from the lead opinion, which result is most likely?