Alexander v. South Carolina State Conference of the NAACP
Facts
Following the 2020 census, South Carolina had to move population out of overpopulated District 1 and into underpopulated District 6. The Republican-controlled legislature openly sought to make District 1 more safely Republican, and its mapmaker used political data from the 2020 presidential election while denying that race was used to draw the enacted map. The enacted plan increased District 1's projected Republican vote share while its black voting-age population remained about 17%, and many Charleston precincts moved from District 1 to District 6 were heavily Democratic. The challengers offered no direct evidence of racial targeting and no alternative map that both achieved the legislature's partisan goal and maintained a higher BVAP in District 1.
Issue
Whether the District Court clearly erred in finding that race predominated over politics in South Carolina's drawing of Congressional District 1, and whether the District Court's related racial vote-dilution ruling could stand on the same factual findings.
Rule
To prove an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, a plaintiff must show that race was the predominant factor motivating the legislature's placement of a significant number of voters in or out of a district, meaning the State subordinated traditional race-neutral districting criteria to racial considerations. When race and partisanship are highly correlated, the plaintiff must disentangle race from politics and rule out the competing explanation that politics drove the district's lines, while courts begin with a presumption that the legislature acted in good faith. In circumstantial-evidence cases, an alternative map showing the State could have achieved its legitimate political objectives with significantly greater racial balance can be key evidence, and failure to provide one may support an adverse inference.
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